Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020
Identifieur interne : 000390 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000389; suivant : 000391Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020
Auteurs : Helen C. Johnson [Suède] ; Céline M. Gossner [Suède] ; Edoardo Colzani [Suède] ; John Kinsman [Suède] ; Leonidas Alexakis [Suède] ; Julien Beauté [Suède] ; Andrea Würz [Suède] ; Svetla Tsolova [Suède] ; Nick Bundle [Suède] ; Karl Ekdahl [Suède]Source :
- Eurosurveillance [ 1025-496X ] ; 2020.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adulte d'âge moyen, Comorbidité, Europe (épidémiologie), Facteurs de risque, Humains, Incertitude, Infections à coronavirus (transmission), Infections à coronavirus (épidémiologie), Internationalité, Modèles théoriques, Planification des mesures d'urgence en cas de catastrophe, Planification en santé, Pneumopathie virale (transmission), Pneumopathie virale (épidémiologie), Prévision, Santé publique, Sujet âgé, Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus, Union européenne, Épidémies.
- MESH :
- épidémiologie : Europe, Infections à coronavirus, Pneumopathie virale.
- Adulte d'âge moyen, Comorbidité, Facteurs de risque, Humains, Incertitude, Internationalité, Modèles théoriques, Planification des mesures d'urgence en cas de catastrophe, Planification en santé, Prévision, Santé publique, Sujet âgé, Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus, Union européenne, Épidémies.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Betacoronavirus (pathogenicity), Comorbidity, Coronavirus Infections (epidemiology), Coronavirus Infections (transmission), Disaster Planning, Epidemics, Europe (epidemiology), European Union, Forecasting, Health Planning, Humans, Internationality, Middle Aged, Models, Theoretical, Pneumonia, Viral (epidemiology), Pneumonia, Viral (transmission), Public Health, Risk Factors, Uncertainty.
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Europe.
- epidemiology : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- pathogenicity : Betacoronavirus.
- transmission : Coronavirus Infections, Pneumonia, Viral.
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Comorbidity, Disaster Planning, Epidemics, European Union, Forecasting, Health Planning, Humans, Internationality, Middle Aged, Models, Theoretical, Public Health, Risk Factors, Uncertainty.
Abstract
Two months after the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the possibility of established and widespread community transmission in the European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) is becoming more likely. We provide scenarios for use in preparedness for a possible widespread epidemic. The EU/EEA is moving towards the ‘limited sustained transmission’ phase. We propose actions to prepare for potential mitigation phases and coordinate efforts to protect the health of citizens.
Url:
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.9.2000202
PubMed: 32156332
PubMed Central: 7068161
Affiliations:
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Le document en format XML
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sortKey="Johnson, Helen C" sort="Johnson, Helen C" uniqKey="Johnson H" first="Helen C" last="Johnson">Helen C. Johnson</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Solna</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation><nlm:aff id="aff2">These authors contributed equally</nlm:aff></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gossner, Celine M" sort="Gossner, Celine M" uniqKey="Gossner C" first="Céline M" last="Gossner">Céline M. 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Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Solna</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wurz, Andrea" sort="Wurz, Andrea" uniqKey="Wurz A" first="Andrea" last="Würz">Andrea Würz</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Solna</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tsolova, Svetla" sort="Tsolova, Svetla" uniqKey="Tsolova S" first="Svetla" last="Tsolova">Svetla Tsolova</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Solna</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bundle, Nick" sort="Bundle, Nick" uniqKey="Bundle N" first="Nick" last="Bundle">Nick Bundle</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Solna</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ekdahl, Karl" sort="Ekdahl, Karl" uniqKey="Ekdahl K" first="Karl" last="Ekdahl">Karl Ekdahl</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Suède</country><wicri:regionArea>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, 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de risque</term><term>Humains</term><term>Incertitude</term><term>Internationalité</term><term>Modèles théoriques</term><term>Planification des mesures d'urgence en cas de catastrophe</term><term>Planification en santé</term><term>Prévision</term><term>Santé publique</term><term>Sujet âgé</term><term>Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus</term><term>Union européenne</term><term>Épidémies</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Two months after the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the possibility of established and widespread community transmission in the European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) is becoming more likely. We provide scenarios for use in preparedness for a possible widespread epidemic. The EU/EEA is moving towards the ‘limited sustained transmission’ phase. We propose actions to prepare for potential mitigation phases and coordinate efforts to protect the health of citizens.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Reusken, Cbem" uniqKey="Reusken C">CBEM Reusken</name></author><author><name sortKey="Broberg, Ek" uniqKey="Broberg E">EK Broberg</name></author><author><name sortKey="Haagmans, B" uniqKey="Haagmans B">B Haagmans</name></author><author><name sortKey="Meijer, A" uniqKey="Meijer A">A Meijer</name></author><author><name sortKey="Corman, Vm" uniqKey="Corman V">VM Corman</name></author><author><name sortKey="Papa, A" uniqKey="Papa A">A Papa</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Wu, Jt" uniqKey="Wu J">JT Wu</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leung, K" uniqKey="Leung K">K Leung</name></author><author><name sortKey="Leung, Gm" uniqKey="Leung G">GM Leung</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Rothe, C" uniqKey="Rothe C">C Rothe</name></author><author><name sortKey="Schunk, M" uniqKey="Schunk M">M Schunk</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sothmann, P" uniqKey="Sothmann P">P Sothmann</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bretzel, G" uniqKey="Bretzel G">G Bretzel</name></author><author><name sortKey="Froeschl, G" uniqKey="Froeschl G">G Froeschl</name></author><author><name sortKey="Wallrauch, C" uniqKey="Wallrauch C">C Wallrauch</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Suède</li></country></list><tree><country name="Suède"><noRegion><name sortKey="Johnson, Helen C" sort="Johnson, Helen C" uniqKey="Johnson H" first="Helen C" last="Johnson">Helen C. Johnson</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Alexakis, Leonidas" sort="Alexakis, Leonidas" uniqKey="Alexakis L" first="Leonidas" last="Alexakis">Leonidas Alexakis</name><name sortKey="Beaute, Julien" sort="Beaute, Julien" uniqKey="Beaute J" first="Julien" last="Beauté">Julien Beauté</name><name sortKey="Bundle, Nick" sort="Bundle, Nick" uniqKey="Bundle N" first="Nick" last="Bundle">Nick Bundle</name><name sortKey="Colzani, Edoardo" sort="Colzani, Edoardo" uniqKey="Colzani E" first="Edoardo" last="Colzani">Edoardo Colzani</name><name sortKey="Ekdahl, Karl" sort="Ekdahl, Karl" uniqKey="Ekdahl K" first="Karl" last="Ekdahl">Karl Ekdahl</name><name sortKey="Gossner, Celine M" sort="Gossner, Celine M" uniqKey="Gossner C" first="Céline M" last="Gossner">Céline M. Gossner</name><name sortKey="Kinsman, John" sort="Kinsman, John" uniqKey="Kinsman J" first="John" last="Kinsman">John Kinsman</name><name sortKey="Tsolova, Svetla" sort="Tsolova, Svetla" uniqKey="Tsolova S" first="Svetla" last="Tsolova">Svetla Tsolova</name><name sortKey="Wurz, Andrea" sort="Wurz, Andrea" uniqKey="Wurz A" first="Andrea" last="Würz">Andrea Würz</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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